Bitcoin (BTC) 2026 Price Predictions

Bitcoin 2026 Price Prediction —Plus the Quantum Computing Risk Everyone's Ignoring

Executive Summary

Current Price (October 25, 2025): $111,700

End of 2026 Price Predictions:

• Bear Scenario (10th Percentile): $92,000 | -17.6% from current

• Base Scenario (Median): $155,000 | +38.8% from current

• Bull Scenario (90th Percentile): $210,000 | +88.0% from current

Bitcoin stands at a critical juncture as 2026 approaches, with institutional adoption accelerating through ETFs holding over $154 billion in assets, post-halving supply constraints tightening, and regulatory clarity emerging globally. While quantum computing concerns and macroeconomic uncertainties present downside risks, the confluence of scarcity dynamics, corporate treasury adoption, and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts creates a favorable environment for sustained appreciation. Our base case projects Bitcoin reaching $155,000 by year-end 2026, representing a 39% gain, driven primarily by institutional inflows and the maturation of spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Bellow we share the rationale, key events to watch and investment strategies for each scenario.