Crypto Crossroads: BTC, ETH & SOL Outlook for Dec 8–14, 2025

Quantile-based scenarios after Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade, Solana ETF flows and a rebounding Bitcoin

Executive Summary

Bitcoin (BTC)

• Current (Dec 8, 2025): $92,014

• Bear (Q0.1): $84,000 ≈ -8.7%

• Base (Q0.5): $97,000 ≈ +5.4%

• Bull (Q0.9): $105,000 ≈ +14.1%

Ethereum (ETH)

• Current (Dec 8, 2025): $3,156

• Bear (Q0.1): $2,900 ≈ -8.1%

• Base (Q0.5): $3,400 ≈ +7.7%

• Bull (Q0.9): $3,800 ≈ +20.4%

Solana (SOL)

• Current (Dec 8, 2025): $138.59

• Bear (Q0.1): $125 ≈ -9.8%

• Base (Q0.5): $145 ≈ +4.6%

• Bull (Q0.9): $165 ≈ +19.1%

Summary in words

• I expect mild upside as the base case for all three: BTC grinding higher after a deep correction, ETH benefiting from the Fusaka upgrade and low exchange supply, and SOL recovering slowly inside a 130–150 USD range with potential ETF tailwinds.

• At the same time, macro risk (Fed decision this week) and positioning after the recent rebound keep meaningful downside on the table, especially if risk assets sell off again.

Bellow we share the rationale, key events to watch and investment strategies for each scenario.