Crypto “Risk-On vs. Liquidity” Week Ahead
BTC, ETH, SOL quantile forecasts for Dec 21, 2025 (USD)
Executive Summary
As of Dec 15, 2025 (latest quotes):
BTC: $89,471
ETH: $3,151
SOL: $131.91
End-of-week targets (Dec 21, 2025) — quantiles (0.1 / 0.5 / 0.9):
BTC
Bear (q0.1): $82,000 (-8.4%)
Base (q0.5): $92,000 (+2.8%)
Bull (q0.9): $102,000 (+14.0%)
ETH
Bear (q0.1): $2,900 (-8.0%)
Base (q0.5): $3,320 (+5.4%)
Bull (q0.9): $3,720 (+18.1%)
SOL
Bear (q0.1): $112 (-15.1%)
Base (q0.5): $129 (-2.2%)
Bull (q0.9): $158 (+19.8%)
Theme for the week: crypto remains highly sensitive to “macro risk appetite” and flows. Bitcoin is still digesting a sharp pullback from October highs, while Ethereum has a fresh protocol catalyst (Fusaka) that can help it relative to the pack.
Bellow we share the rationale, key events to watch and investment strategies for each scenario.
